Their share of mail ballots cast has also increased slightly from 8.2% on 10/23 to 8.4% today. Young voters (aged 18-29) have increased their share of early in-person votes somewhat since our last report, from 3.5% on 10/23 to 4.6% as of today.The number of early in-person voters in Wisconsin has almost doubled since our last report on 10/23 (124,503 new EIP votes cast). Another 342,153 voters have outstanding mail ballots. 992,595 voters in Wisconsin have cast their mail ballots and 267,451 have voted early in-person.They also make up 11.4% of mail ballots cast (no change from 10/23). Black voters make up 15.2% of early in-person voters despite being just 14.1% of registered voters. Black voters continue to over-index among early in-person votes compared to their share of registered voters.They currently make up 14.7% of mail ballots cast (up from 14.2% on 10/23) and 16.6% of early in-person votes (up from 15.5% on 10/23). Latinx voters’ vote share in Florida continues to trend up.This is based on official party registration, not modeled partisanship. Democrats still have more outstanding mail ballots than Republicans by a margin of 8.7%. However, Republicans currently hold an 11.0% advantage in early in-person votes (up from 8.1% on 10/23). Democrats are outpacing Republicans in mail ballots cast by 16.2% (down from 17.5% on 10/23).The total number of votes cast in Florida so far (both my mail and EIP) is 59.5% of the total votes cast in Florida in the 2016 general election. Each of those numbers represents a large change from 10/23 (496,403 new mail ballots cast, 907,067 new early in-person votes, and 590,607 fewer outstanding ballots). Another 1,957,236 voters have outstanding mail ballots. 3,660,248 voters in Florida have cast their ballots by mail and 1,945,020 have voted early in-person.First-time voters are now 6.2% of mail ballots cast (up from 4.9% one week ago). There has been an increase in vote share for first-time voters in the last week.Black voters are just 14.3% of registered voters nationally, but make up 13.9% of early in-person voters. Black voters continue to turn out at high rates for early in-person voting.Voters 65+ now make up 43.2% of mail ballots cast (down from 44.5% on 10/23) and 34.1% of early in-person votes (down from 36.4% on 10/21). The vote share of the oldest voters, those 65 and up, has seen a corresponding decrease in the last few days. Voters 18-29 now make up 9.6% of mail ballots cast (up from 9.0% on 10/23) and 10.2% of early in-person votes (up from 9.4% on 10/23). Young voters’ share of votes cast so far continues to rise.Democrats still have many more outstanding mail ballots than Republicans by a margin of 14.9% (no change from 10/23). However, Republicans hold a 1.3% advantage in early in-person votes (up from 10/23 when Democrats held a 1.2% advantage). ![]()
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